ABD Federal Reserve 2026 para politikası döngüsü

Fed'den Paulson Faiz Oranları Konusunda 'Açık Fikirli' Kalıyor

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Fed’den Hammack, enflasyonu düşürmek için daha sıkı para politikasının gerektiğini söylüyor

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GSYH, ekonominin ikinci çeyrekte %1,5 büyüdüğünü gösteriyor — ancak göründüğünden bile daha iyi

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JPMorgan, Fed faiz artırımı tahminini Aralık 2026'ya çekti

Fed faiz kararı 29 Temmuz'da açıklanacak

San Francisco Fed Başkanı Daly, Temmuz Toplantısındaki Faiz Kararını Savundu

ABD Federal Reserve Temmuz toplantısında politika faizini sabit tuttu.

The US Federal Reserve held its policy rate steady at the July 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, keeping the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75% [1][2][3][4][30][38][57][79]. The decision marked the fifth consecutive meeting in 2026 without a rate change [25][31].

The vote was 9-3, with FOMC members Beth M. Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie K. Logan dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point rate increase [35][76]. The dissenting members argued that high inflation warranted tighter policy [36].

The Fed's statement reinforced a cautious stance on inflation, noting that supply-side shocks, especially in energy, were driving price increases, and reiterated its commitment to price stability [34][37]. Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized the 2% inflation target but gave no clear policy guidance [42][80].

ABD çekirdek Kişisel Tüketim Harcamaları (PCE) endeksi Haziran ayında %3,3 oldu.

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Fed, Haziran 2026 toplantısında federal fon faizini sabit tuttu.

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ABD GSYH'si 2026'nın 1. çeyreğinde yıllık %2,1 oranında büyüdü.

The US economy grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026 [40]. The reading came as inflation, which had been easing, accelerated after geopolitical events in late February [52].

Growth slowed sharply in the second quarter to a 1.5% annual rate [38], missing the 1.8% forecast by economists [39]. In response, the Federal Reserve held its policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% through its July 2026 meeting [21], despite core PCE inflation remaining at 3.3% annually in June [42]. Three FOMC members dissented and voted for a rate hike [26].

ABD ve İsrail, İran'a saldırarak enerji fiyatlarında artışa neden oldu.

In late February 2026, the United States and Israel attacked Iran, an event that triggered a sudden surge in energy prices. This military offensive caused energy and fertilizer prices to skyrocket, contributing to an acceleration in inflation after it had previously been easing heading into the year.

The resulting energy shock and the ongoing war in the Middle East have shook energy prices and supply chains, posing risks to economic growth. Federal Reserve officials have expressed concern that the spike in energy costs could spill over into the broader economy.

As the conflict progressed, renewed hostilities and renewed military offensives helped drive energy prices back up, with average gasoline prices rising above $4 a gallon.

Federal Reserve üç faiz indirimi gerçekleştirdi.

During the latter part of 2025, the US Federal Reserve implemented a series of monetary easing measures. The central bank cut its policy rate by 25 basis points at each of its last three meetings in 2025.